Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006834 0.007635 0.008508 0.009533 0.010707 0.012013 0.013581
2025-05-25 0.005599 0.006696 0.007992 0.009647 0.011723 0.014260 0.017629
2025-06-01 0.004833 0.006040 0.007542 0.009573 0.012280 0.015815 0.020859
2025-06-08 0.004189 0.005413 0.007000 0.009241 0.012379 0.016697 0.023237
2025-06-15 0.003815 0.005077 0.006771 0.009261 0.012903 0.018165 0.026588
2025-06-22 0.003616 0.004945 0.006790 0.009602 0.013896 0.020399 0.031389
2025-06-29 0.003294 0.004603 0.006471 0.009406 0.014044 0.021349 0.034277
2025-07-06 0.003019 0.004301 0.006176 0.009202 0.014140 0.022203 0.037103
2025-07-13 0.002829 0.004108 0.006021 0.009193 0.014532 0.023574 0.041026
2025-07-20 0.002721 0.004026 0.006025 0.009433 0.015357 0.025771 0.046821
2025-07-27 0.002553 0.003838 0.005845 0.009345 0.015599 0.026954 0.050840
2025-08-03 0.002424 0.003700 0.005733 0.009359 0.016017 0.028503 0.055853
2025-08-10 0.002272 0.003522 0.005550 0.009249 0.016229 0.029752 0.060623
2025-08-17 0.002171 0.003420 0.005488 0.009353 0.016863 0.031942 0.067978
2025-08-24 0.002050 0.003275 0.005340 0.009282 0.017143 0.033438 0.074032
2025-08-31 0.001901 0.003072 0.005074 0.008962 0.016885 0.033750 0.077256
2025-09-07 0.001818 0.002975 0.004989 0.008980 0.017323 0.035647 0.084939
2025-09-14 0.001785 0.002967 0.005061 0.009310 0.018456 0.039297 0.098208
2025-09-21 0.001684 0.002828 0.004883 0.009121 0.018435 0.040224 0.104069
2025-09-28 0.001590 0.002696 0.004709 0.008924 0.018375 0.041048 0.109838
2025-10-05 0.001526 0.002616 0.004628 0.008915 0.018741 0.042997 0.119571
2025-10-12 0.001496 0.002596 0.004660 0.009146 0.019699 0.046634 0.135779
2025-10-19 0.001431 0.002507 0.004550 0.009062 0.019886 0.048240 0.145640